(CREAN) March Madness 2026 Bracket Win Probabilities

My machine learning model, CREAN, has been updated for 2026. The regional and final four brackets and win probabilities are below.

The 2026 version uses logistic regression and considers the following features:

• Tournament Seed
• Win % vs Elite Opponents
• Win % vs Above-Average Opponents
• Win % vs Below-Average Opponents
• Offensive Efficiency
• Defensive Efficiency
• True Shooting %
• Three-Point Attempt Rate
• Free Throw Rate
• Offensive Rebound %
• Defensive Rebound %
• Block Rate
• Assist-to-Turnover Ratio
• Opponent Turnover Rate
• Pace Differential